November 7, 2024

It’s coming down to the wire in the Land of Mediocrity, aka the NFC South. Three teams, none of which has a winning record entering Week 18, still have a chance to win the division and earn a home playoff game. So will it be the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the Atlanta Falcons, or the New Orleans Saints atop the standings by the end of the NFL’s regular season?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have far and away the easiest path at the divisional crown. They need no assistance from other teams in their pursuit. It’s win and in for Todd Bowles’ team. Plus, the team standing in the way of the “win” part is the Carolina Panthers, the NFL’s worst team by a comfortable margin.

As for the Falcons and Saints, they will be facing off against one another in the regular season finale. A win for either team, coupled with a Bucs loss, would be enough to win the division. For Atlanta, it’s NFC South or bust, whereas New Orleans can earn a wild card berth with a win, a Seattle Seahawks loss/tie, and a Green Bay Packers loss/tie.

With that all laid out, what reason is there to believe the Saints will end up hosting a playoff game at the Superdome next week? Let’s run through three of them below.

Saints general manager Mickey Loomis mentioned this week his expectation that fans would create a raucous environment in Week 18’s home game, just as they always do. And that might end up being the difference in the Falcons-Saints matchup.

It’s not as if Dennis Allen’s team has been a juggernaut in home games in 2023. The Saints have a winning record in the Superdome…barely. But four wins is more than three losses, so, home field advantage.

On a related note, the Falcons have struggled away from their home turf. Arthur Smith’s team is 2-6 in games not taking place in Atlanta. The two wins? A 16-13 victory over the Bucs and a 13-8 win over the Tim Boyle-led New York Jets. Enough said there

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